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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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but looking at the maps and the polling it's clear that president obama still has a narrow advantage in terms of how you get to 270 electoral votes. two big developments to me have happened in the last 48 hours. the first one is the kind of ads governor romney is running. you mentioned one of them in your piece, that's the one in florida linking president obama to chavez and castro. the other one in ohio where governor romney for the first time brings up the auto issue where he's been battered on. neither of those ads were released to the press, they were just put on the air. that, as you know, is a giveaway that they don't want that ad to be written about, they want voters to see it. and that to me says they still have to move numbers in both florida and ohio and the second big thing, judy, the fact that governor romney on sunday is going to be in the philadelphia suburbs, that really speaks to the fact that they're looking for a way to 270 besides ohio. >> woodruff: margaret, you cover the white house, you're talking to them. they're hearing what the romney people are doing, what a
but looking at the maps and the polling it's clear that president obama still has a narrow advantage in terms of how you get to 270 electoral votes. two big developments to me have happened in the last 48 hours. the first one is the kind of ads governor romney is running. you mentioned one of them in your piece, that's the one in florida linking president obama to chavez and castro. the other one in ohio where governor romney for the first time brings up the auto issue where he's been battered...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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nine days until voters go to the polls. >> we have seen some of the effect. both governor romney and president obama have canceled effe events in virginia. one big impact right now. it's going to expect their effort to get out the vote. early voting didn't have much effect on early voting in florida yesterday. it could complicate it in virginia and ohio. then finally, is this storm as bad as it seems to be right now, it could block out the closing arguments of these candidates. >> i wonder if you're the president how do you manage campaigning, because his job is truly on the line here with governing and imagine perhaps a large disaster. >> he's returning to the white house tomorrow afternoon, as i said, cancelling some events. the biggest problem for the president right now, if he makes any mishandling of this storm could affect the final days of this race. >> in nonweather news, a bit of surprise, the des moines register, the largest newspaper endorsed romney. >> iowa is a key state. it's part of barack obama's mid western fire wall. >> he needs to win iowa,
nine days until voters go to the polls. >> we have seen some of the effect. both governor romney and president obama have canceled effe events in virginia. one big impact right now. it's going to expect their effort to get out the vote. early voting didn't have much effect on early voting in florida yesterday. it could complicate it in virginia and ohio. then finally, is this storm as bad as it seems to be right now, it could block out the closing arguments of these candidates. >> i...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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the poll says obama will win in the swing states. nate silver says obama is ahead in the swing states and win the electoral college. the polls are usually right. the model acknowledges the polls could be wrong. that chance is at 15% based on the same sort of analysis i gave earlier that look there are a few examples when the polls are off this much. ken buck, sharon engel, hilary and obama in new hampshire but more the exception than rule therefore obama is the favorite. if obama wins i don't think that makes, you know, nate silver or myself or anyone else who stairs at the polls and says obama is favored, you know, being incredibly insightful. polls are right and pollsters get the credit. if obama loses i don't think nate silver should be panned out. i don't think either. >> never pan you. >> you could use your wizardry to answer this question. isn't it quite possible at this point in terms of electoral college when you're looking at the key battleground states the president has a lead in most them. isn't it possible the president w
the poll says obama will win in the swing states. nate silver says obama is ahead in the swing states and win the electoral college. the polls are usually right. the model acknowledges the polls could be wrong. that chance is at 15% based on the same sort of analysis i gave earlier that look there are a few examples when the polls are off this much. ken buck, sharon engel, hilary and obama in new hampshire but more the exception than rule therefore obama is the favorite. if obama wins i don't...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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had for the last three days of tracks we've had it 49 romney, 48 obama. it's a statistical tie. we haven't had it any more of a three-point difference. >> we checked with the department of labor, and contrary to some reports including one of the major newspapers on-line there is no problem with the jobs report, the jobs report for good or bad is coming on friday. >> which -- >> they've collected the data. >> which we all thought was going to be the big thing before the election, was this last jobs report. now it's a secondary story by far compared to the storm. >> chris cizilla, thank you so much for everything. >> sure. >> and hurricane sandy is gaining steam. this massive storm is now targeting the eastern seaboard. we'll be live next right here on "andrea mitchell reports." hi, i'm amy for downy unstopables in-wash scent boosters, here with my favorite new intern, jimmy. mmm! fresh! and it's been in the closet for 12 weeks! unbelievable! unstopables! i'll show you how! ♪ just shake them into the washer i can't believe this lasts 12 weeks! neither can
had for the last three days of tracks we've had it 49 romney, 48 obama. it's a statistical tie. we haven't had it any more of a three-point difference. >> we checked with the department of labor, and contrary to some reports including one of the major newspapers on-line there is no problem with the jobs report, the jobs report for good or bad is coming on friday. >> which -- >> they've collected the data. >> which we all thought was going to be the big thing before the...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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obama was polling the same way the whole time. in 2000 there was this assumption that it was going to break for bush and it never did. >> for those of us who work long hours, sometimes it's hard to remember, it's exciting. it's an exciting time, right? it could go either way. i think what you're seeing is part of the reason that it's not. we always talk about a break and then don't end up seeing onenessly. it's all about turnout now. it's all about getting voters to the polls. so who has momentum and who doesn't, it's a momentum game. >> number two, the break for gore and it was barely -- and the real break happened in democratic senate races. >> it's interesting, going back to 1984, very quickly, the difference in that break and obviously we were still in diapers back then -- >> i was out of diapers. maybe i shouldn't have been. >> veg began appeared to have the confidence and appeared to be the incumbent. >> i've had romney people admit to me they have to have some momentum. they believe it's a point in turnout. that's why they
obama was polling the same way the whole time. in 2000 there was this assumption that it was going to break for bush and it never did. >> for those of us who work long hours, sometimes it's hard to remember, it's exciting. it's an exciting time, right? it could go either way. i think what you're seeing is part of the reason that it's not. we always talk about a break and then don't end up seeing onenessly. it's all about turnout now. it's all about getting voters to the polls. so who has...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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phones in order to get votes. >> we've got to drag people to the polls. that's what they are doing. you don't have to offer them cell phones like they are doing but, by golly, take people to the polls. >> it's just not the romney supporters, today the campaign is trying to spook us just in time for halloween and a bag of dirty tricks. joining me now is president of the service union and jamal simmons a. dr simmons, a democratic, strategist. let me start with you, mary kay. are we going to see a lot more of these dirty tricks in the next six days, in your opinion, mary kay? >> yes, we are, for the reason thaw just said. they cannot repeal on voters for the economy that works for everybody. instead, they are going to distract voters by esending out these ridiculous lies and we're not having it. we have a ground game that is going to unite people to exercise their right to vote and we intend to drive a vote out that will win for the president on election day. >> now, i've been all over the country with the nonpartisan voter protection stuff and i see your gr
phones in order to get votes. >> we've got to drag people to the polls. that's what they are doing. you don't have to offer them cell phones like they are doing but, by golly, take people to the polls. >> it's just not the romney supporters, today the campaign is trying to spook us just in time for halloween and a bag of dirty tricks. joining me now is president of the service union and jamal simmons a. dr simmons, a democratic, strategist. let me start with you, mary kay. are we...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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according to our poll, president obama has a six-point lead in the buckeye state, which is unchanged from last month. he's gotten high marks after hurricane sandy with seven in ten voters approving of his handling of the storm and he has a slight edge when it comes to handling the economy. 48% say mr. obama would do a better job compared to 46% who side with romney. on friday, mr. obama made a three-stop blitz here in ohio, staking his closing argument on the auto bailout, which is widely popular here. and which republicans oppose. he also slammed romney for claiming that jeep is shipping jobs to china. it's a claim the romney campaign defends that has been widely discredited. take a listen to what president obama had to say. >> the car companies themselves have told governor romney to knock it off. gm said we think creating jobs in the united states should be a source of bipartisan pride. and i couldn't agree more. >> reporter: now early voting has begun here in ohio with 35% saying they've already voted early or plan to do so. obama is leading among those voters 62-36%, but romney
according to our poll, president obama has a six-point lead in the buckeye state, which is unchanged from last month. he's gotten high marks after hurricane sandy with seven in ten voters approving of his handling of the storm and he has a slight edge when it comes to handling the economy. 48% say mr. obama would do a better job compared to 46% who side with romney. on friday, mr. obama made a three-stop blitz here in ohio, staking his closing argument on the auto bailout, which is widely...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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polls show mitt romney and president obama running neck- and-neck. >> another $5 trillion tax cut that favors the wealthy, not changed. refusing to answer questions about details of your policies until after the election, that has definitely not changed. >> president had some star power, singer john mellencamp and kate walsh opened for him in iowa and singer katy perry appeared. >>> there were long lines of voters in the critical swing state in ohio. president obama's re-election campaign had gone to court to chala plan by ohio to cut back on early voting. supreme court denied ohio's request, handing a victory to democrats who believe early voting he helps themment a study released by the lawyer's committee found that african- american voters were 26 times more likely to cast an early ballot than white voters. >>> and in kenya, a bullfight was held today to determine who will win the u.s. presidential election. a 900-pound black bull named obama and a 1,000-pound white bull named romney as the crowd cheered them on. after an hour the crowd cheered that obama was the winner. not surpris
polls show mitt romney and president obama running neck- and-neck. >> another $5 trillion tax cut that favors the wealthy, not changed. refusing to answer questions about details of your policies until after the election, that has definitely not changed. >> president had some star power, singer john mellencamp and kate walsh opened for him in iowa and singer katy perry appeared. >>> there were long lines of voters in the critical swing state in ohio. president obama's...
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Nov 4, 2012
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new nbc news wall street journal poll just out today shows president obama with 48% of the national vote. mitt romney has 47%. a dead heat. the new york times, 538 blog says if the election were held today, the president would win reelection with 307 electoral votes. mitt romney would get 231. 270 is the magic number needed to winter white house. the times blog gives the president an 85% chance of winning the election. romney has a 15% chance. that's the highest percentage the president has had since october 3rd, the day of the first debate. and as of tonight, more than 29 million people are have already vote pepd but the lines as long as six hours in florida have led to a major development in that state. and we will have a lot more on that later. in these final 48 hours, this race has become an all-out sprint. today president obama chris crossed the country starting in new hampshire. flying to florida and ohio for events. and ending the rally in colorado. governor romney began in iowa and held events in ohio and pennsylvania. he will end his day in virginia. president obama whipped vote
new nbc news wall street journal poll just out today shows president obama with 48% of the national vote. mitt romney has 47%. a dead heat. the new york times, 538 blog says if the election were held today, the president would win reelection with 307 electoral votes. mitt romney would get 231. 270 is the magic number needed to winter white house. the times blog gives the president an 85% chance of winning the election. romney has a 15% chance. that's the highest percentage the president has had...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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this poll shows president obama with a slim slelead, 49-47. >>> both campaigns are finding some talking points to drive home their closing arguments. here it is. unemployment ticked up to 7.9% while the economy added 171,000 jobs in october. that's more than most expected. earlier, i spoke with bill gross who runs the world's biggest mutual fund pinco if these numbers are enough to move voters and the markets. >> i'm not sure it is, victor. actually, the election may hinge on the length of gas lines in new jersey and new york on monday as opposed to the number of jobs announced on friday. in any case, the job creation number is sufficient going forward to certainly level the unemployment rate and, ultimately, over time, to produce a lower unemployment rate. it's a positive for the democrats and the obama administration, at least short term. we know that the election is about the economy. it is about, you know, two different visions in terms of an obama plan that basically suggests raising taxes on the wealthy, you know, to lower the deficit and romney plan that suggests tax reform that
this poll shows president obama with a slim slelead, 49-47. >>> both campaigns are finding some talking points to drive home their closing arguments. here it is. unemployment ticked up to 7.9% while the economy added 171,000 jobs in october. that's more than most expected. earlier, i spoke with bill gross who runs the world's biggest mutual fund pinco if these numbers are enough to move voters and the markets. >> i'm not sure it is, victor. actually, the election may hinge on the...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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we will go over late polls that has both president obama and governor romney feeling optimistic. fox and friends get going in 13 minutes. don't miss it. >> hurricane sandy already halting thousands of fights and leaving travelers stranded as the storm goes up the east coast. >> let's talk on the phone with steve coleman with the port authority of new york and new jersey. the port authority governs a lot of things many of the tunnels coming into and out of manhattan and also the major airports in this area. start off by telling us what the situation is at the airports right now. >> right now the airports are open. we do have stranded travelers at all three airports. doing the best we can to make them comfortable. providing them basic amenities however air carriers have ceased operations until further notice and we are strongly urging anybody that might have had a flight out of any of our airports which is jfk. newark laguardia not to go to the airport until such time as they resume service. >> what about the bridges taunlds? lots of spokes wfolks who work manhattan many are trying
we will go over late polls that has both president obama and governor romney feeling optimistic. fox and friends get going in 13 minutes. don't miss it. >> hurricane sandy already halting thousands of fights and leaving travelers stranded as the storm goes up the east coast. >> let's talk on the phone with steve coleman with the port authority of new york and new jersey. the port authority governs a lot of things many of the tunnels coming into and out of manhattan and also the...
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Nov 4, 2012
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. >> but in virginia, he spoke up for president obama, trying to soften up a critical swing state. >> we've made real progress, virginia. >> governor romney is trying to hold down iowa, a battleground state where he's fallen behind five points in the latest polls. >> with the vote of the people of iowa, we can't lose. >> the candidates cross paths within hours of each other as they barnstormed iowa and six other toss-up states, making their final arguments in the last weekend of the campaign. the president was joined by musicians john mellencamp and katy perry, and governor romney got a boost from nascar legend, richard petty. >> this is as much as you hear when you're in a nascar race. >> with only two more days of campaigning left, the candidates are just beginning their blitz of the battleground states. governor romney is campaigning later today in pennsylvania. 20 electoral votes that were thought to be in president obama's column, republicans say are now up for grabs. brian mooar, nbc news, washington. >> new jersey residents displaced by the superstorm will be allowed to vote by
. >> but in virginia, he spoke up for president obama, trying to soften up a critical swing state. >> we've made real progress, virginia. >> governor romney is trying to hold down iowa, a battleground state where he's fallen behind five points in the latest polls. >> with the vote of the people of iowa, we can't lose. >> the candidates cross paths within hours of each other as they barnstormed iowa and six other toss-up states, making their final arguments in the...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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and the polling in north carolina still suggests that the president -- that obama care is still not very popular in north carolina although you start taking pieces of that like preexisting conditions and that sort of thing, it becomes various parts of it are more popular with the public. it's been a tough sell in north carolina. i think it's one of the reasons for example in 2010 that the state legislature went republican. it's one of the reasons that democratic congressmen lost his congressional seat here in north carolina. so it's been a tough issue for democrats. i don't think there's any question about that and a good issue for republicans. host: rob christensen talking to us from north carolina. you can read some of his writings at news observer.com. host: what are you going to be watching for on election night in north carolina? guest: the national presidential race is why people are looking at north carolina. but in the state we have -- it's been a battleground -- we have several battlegrounds going on. we have a governor's race going on. north carolina has had 20 years of democra
and the polling in north carolina still suggests that the president -- that obama care is still not very popular in north carolina although you start taking pieces of that like preexisting conditions and that sort of thing, it becomes various parts of it are more popular with the public. it's been a tough sell in north carolina. i think it's one of the reasons for example in 2010 that the state legislature went republican. it's one of the reasons that democratic congressmen lost his...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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the latest ohio poll shows romney trailing president obama badly on whether the candidate cares about the needs of people like you. president obama also leads on who is better at helping the middle class. president obama also leads romney by five points in ohio, in large part because romney's 47% problems just continue to haunt him. it is halloween, isn't it? let's bring in msnbc contributor, e.j. dionne, who is also a "washington post" columnist and author of the book, "our divided political heart." you know, this storm, as devastating as it is, e.j., it seems to have created some real problems for the romney campaign. it's almost as if you see them, and they are thing, and you can see them thinking out loud, oh, no, now what do we do? staging events. i mean, how low does it get? your thoughts? >> well, first of all, i would like to send my love out to my wife's family in rockaway queens, the neighborhood right on the ocean that got hammered. it's a great area and those folks are having a tough time right now. and i think this storm presented romneys with a slew of problems, and that
the latest ohio poll shows romney trailing president obama badly on whether the candidate cares about the needs of people like you. president obama also leads on who is better at helping the middle class. president obama also leads romney by five points in ohio, in large part because romney's 47% problems just continue to haunt him. it is halloween, isn't it? let's bring in msnbc contributor, e.j. dionne, who is also a "washington post" columnist and author of the book, "our...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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some polls show the state tightening, but generally, it's been moving more towards romney than the obama camp would have hoped. >> what about on the race front, we look at the white and non white vote split. what do you see? >> you see the president per foming significantly underneath that 40% margin that john king took. this is difficult to talk about because you don't like seeing our politics polarized by race. democrats have had a deficit with white voters for more than 30 years. now, president obama made up a lot of that ground in 2008 and democrats have made up for it by having a significant edge, but this combination of a tough economy means that the president's having a hard time getting his white support above 40%. that is a real issue. in the long run, democrats have made a smart bet on diversity. republicans can't hope for a large share of the white vote to bring them over the top, but this is an issue in this collection and with the tough economy, huge implications that both campaigns are going to be paying a lot of attention to. >> thanks very much. race does matter in this e
some polls show the state tightening, but generally, it's been moving more towards romney than the obama camp would have hoped. >> what about on the race front, we look at the white and non white vote split. what do you see? >> you see the president per foming significantly underneath that 40% margin that john king took. this is difficult to talk about because you don't like seeing our politics polarized by race. democrats have had a deficit with white voters for more than 30 years....
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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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in iowa our poll has president obama up by six, 50%, 44%. in colorado a new cnn/opinion research poll shows the president leading by two. finally to michigan where a new epic poll shows the president ahead by six, 48%, 42%. we'll be right back. >>> for the past few days all of us have been focused on one of the worst storms in our lifetimes, and we're awed and humbled by nature's destructive power. i was out in new jersey yesterday and saw the devastation, and you really get a sense of, you know, how difficult this is going to be for a lot, a lot of people. >> welcome back to "hardball." that was president obama earlier today. voters are overwhelmingly supportive of his handling of the storm. a "washington post"/abc poll shows 78% give him a positive rating for his efforts these past few days. during his re-election pause, if you call it that, mr. obama reminded americans he has presidential duties and also found a couple unlikely friends along the way, one being new jersey governor chris christie and now tonight a big one, new york mayor mi
in iowa our poll has president obama up by six, 50%, 44%. in colorado a new cnn/opinion research poll shows the president leading by two. finally to michigan where a new epic poll shows the president ahead by six, 48%, 42%. we'll be right back. >>> for the past few days all of us have been focused on one of the worst storms in our lifetimes, and we're awed and humbled by nature's destructive power. i was out in new jersey yesterday and saw the devastation, and you really get a sense...
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Nov 4, 2012
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him. >> that's why the national poll numbers are as close as it is, because barack obama is through the floor in the south. and it could end up that the south will be solid once again. it goes back to the civil war and slavery and still there. >> let many ask chuck, could it be that the president, knowing that he would never get electoral votes in the south, spend little time in the last four years cultivating a strong minority support among white voters? >> i guess i take issue he didn't do it. he spent a lot of time in north carolina and florida. i am surprised he didn't spend more time in the state of georgia, a state that is under certain scenarios, all of the growth when you look at the census, the african-american and hispanic growth in the state of georgia. there's a lot of things he could have done differently, when it comes to building different and better coalitions in washington, finding his own versions of moderate republicans to come with him. the question is, did he learn lessons if he wins a second term? and maybe are there better ways of building coalitions outside o
him. >> that's why the national poll numbers are as close as it is, because barack obama is through the floor in the south. and it could end up that the south will be solid once again. it goes back to the civil war and slavery and still there. >> let many ask chuck, could it be that the president, knowing that he would never get electoral votes in the south, spend little time in the last four years cultivating a strong minority support among white voters? >> i guess i take...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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these are desperate times for team obama. he is trailing in the polls and is being forced to spend resources in states that he won easily in 2008. as a result, the lying will no doubt continue into tuesday. what makes matters worse this just as temperatures begin to reach the freezing point in new york, new jersey, long island and connecticut over the weekend and famed families without food and power, electricity and heat our compassionate leader will be campaigning alongside who else, bruce string seen, former are drug dealer jay-zed former rapper who once shot his brother and uses the. in word. the rhetoric flowing from supporters even more disgraceful. ohio governor ted strickland attacked governor romney for sending his campaign bus to deliver disaster relief supplies this week. watch. >> and then there is mitt romney who tries to fake compassion by asking people to bring food to a rally and when they don't do it they take $5,000 and go out to wal-mart and by food to pass out to the people coming to the rally so that he c
these are desperate times for team obama. he is trailing in the polls and is being forced to spend resources in states that he won easily in 2008. as a result, the lying will no doubt continue into tuesday. what makes matters worse this just as temperatures begin to reach the freezing point in new york, new jersey, long island and connecticut over the weekend and famed families without food and power, electricity and heat our compassionate leader will be campaigning alongside who else, bruce...
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Nov 3, 2012
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the latest nbc news poll show an extremely tight race between president obama, mitt romney. in the key swing states of ohio and florida, that's where both candidates have been spending a lot of their time. joining me now is mark murray, nbc news senior political editor, and edo keith congressional reporter for "the washington post." hi, guys, ready to go? >> good morning. >> how you feeling? >> let's talk about these polls you put out there, mark. what did you find in florida, and ohio? >> well, in ohio, president obama has a six-point advantage among likely voters. 51% to 45%. in florida, it's closer. president obama at 49% among likely voters. yet mitt romney at 47% among likely voters. one thing that is helping president obama is that early vote, the overwhelming number of people who've already voted early say that they are backing president obama. mitt romney has a little bit of a better score over obama on the economy. in florida, but in ohio it's president obama with the slight edge on who would better handle the economy. >> okay, so what is the interpretation of these
the latest nbc news poll show an extremely tight race between president obama, mitt romney. in the key swing states of ohio and florida, that's where both candidates have been spending a lot of their time. joining me now is mark murray, nbc news senior political editor, and edo keith congressional reporter for "the washington post." hi, guys, ready to go? >> good morning. >> how you feeling? >> let's talk about these polls you put out there, mark. what did you find...
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Nov 2, 2012
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. >> reporter: with polls in iowa showing president obama with a thin but steady lead, it's likely that both candidates will try to tap into the growing number of latino voters. >> brown: online, you can watch a video profile of the town of perry, iowa, on our politics page. >> woodruff: and to the analysis of shields and brooks. that's syndicated columnist mark shields and "new york times" columnist david brooks. so one of the things he said was to to him immigration reform is the second big, and yet it barely comes up. he is not ready for obvious rrntion it is a tough issue and mitt romney is not for obvious reason sois think if obama is re-elected i'm not sure, it is to the going to be a top priority. >> re-elected? >> re-elected, just gave me a cold chill. >> maybe in the second term it will be. if obama is re-elected he will be. and i suspect they would be happy to go back to george w. bush was trying to do a few years ago. but it is a tragedy we haven't really talked about because it is much harder to get something passed. >> how do you see it. >> i think the republican party is k
. >> reporter: with polls in iowa showing president obama with a thin but steady lead, it's likely that both candidates will try to tap into the growing number of latino voters. >> brown: online, you can watch a video profile of the town of perry, iowa, on our politics page. >> woodruff: and to the analysis of shields and brooks. that's syndicated columnist mark shields and "new york times" columnist david brooks. so one of the things he said was to to him...
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Nov 3, 2012
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so florida is more likely to tip into obama' side, but there are big differences in these polls. some of the more local polls in florida have put romney ahead. i think it's still a nail biter in florida. could go either way. but it's for sure romney's need to win state. >> okay, pennsylvania now with you, perry. the romney camp appears to be making a play for that state, spending about $10 million in ad right now. mitt romney is adding a stop there tomorrow. paul ryan will be there today. there are a lot of theories on why his camp is doing this. what's your take, perry? >> my theory is they're struggling in ohio so much they have to try to make a play somewhere else. the president probably can't win the elections without winning pennsylvania. that said he's been leading in every poll in pennsylvania throughout this race. romney hasn't campaigned in pennsylvania up until now. last ditch effort a little desperate i think. but it shows you the challenge they're having in ohio where the president has maintained the lead throughout this race and no republican has ever won without win
so florida is more likely to tip into obama' side, but there are big differences in these polls. some of the more local polls in florida have put romney ahead. i think it's still a nail biter in florida. could go either way. but it's for sure romney's need to win state. >> okay, pennsylvania now with you, perry. the romney camp appears to be making a play for that state, spending about $10 million in ad right now. mitt romney is adding a stop there tomorrow. paul ryan will be there today....
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Oct 28, 2012
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a huge political ramification going into nine days until voters go to the polls. how do any affect this? >> we've seen both governor romney and president obama have to cancel events, obama in virginia, and adjust their schedules. president obama canceling an event in colorado. that's one big impact right now and also it will affect their efforts to get out the vote and early voting didn't seem to have much effect on the early voting in florida yesterday but could complicate efforts to get out the vote in virginia and ohio, two other key states that will be impacted by the storm and finally if this storm is as bad as it seems to be right now, it could block out the closing arguments of these candidates in the last nine days. >> in some ways this is the real october surprise. i wonder if you're the president, how do you manage campaigning because the job is truly on the line with governing and managing perhaps a large disaster response. >> you show you're in touch. that's why the president put out photos of him talking to the director of the federal emergency manage
a huge political ramification going into nine days until voters go to the polls. how do any affect this? >> we've seen both governor romney and president obama have to cancel events, obama in virginia, and adjust their schedules. president obama canceling an event in colorado. that's one big impact right now and also it will affect their efforts to get out the vote and early voting didn't seem to have much effect on the early voting in florida yesterday but could complicate efforts to get...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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a brand-new rasmussen poll showing governor mitt romney now leaving president obama among likely voters in the critical battleground state of ohio. this is a first in this race. it is a significant shift from just a week ago when the president governor romney were tied at 40%. in most polls, the president had been leading governor romney in ohio. chris stirewalt is our fox news digital editor and also the host of the show "power play." chris, some events are being canceled because they are not being affected by hurricane sandy, but how many times have we talked about the likely voter polls, talking about how it will really matter or not romney loses ohio. no republican has ever won the white house without it. rasmussen came out with a poll showing that governor romney is taking the lead their. >> well, yes, here is the thing. we have seen all along that mitt romney could not quite close in ohio and he has continued to do better in places like florida and virginia. ohio has posed a difficulty, he couldn't close the gap with the president. what we have seen has been a slow-motion surge fr
a brand-new rasmussen poll showing governor mitt romney now leaving president obama among likely voters in the critical battleground state of ohio. this is a first in this race. it is a significant shift from just a week ago when the president governor romney were tied at 40%. in most polls, the president had been leading governor romney in ohio. chris stirewalt is our fox news digital editor and also the host of the show "power play." chris, some events are being canceled because...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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they spin us about polls. you ask the romney people to explain how they're going to pay for their tax cut. you don't get an answer. you want a jobs plan from obama, you don't get an answer. >> on that point of what the campaigns themselves are serving up, and of course we tend to cover what they are talking about, obama campaign ad has gotten a whole lot of attention the last couple of days. lina dunham, creator and star of hor's "girls," saying this about why she is swooning for the president. >> the first time shouldn't be with just anybody. you want to do it with a great guy. a guy what cares whether you get health insurance and specifically whether you get birth control. >> i said this on dailydownload, i wrote a piece on this. this is something that the campaign is doing to reach out to younger female voters. conservatives are going crazy about this kind of thing. but it is getting younger women to talk about women's issues. >> i didn't have any problem with that ad. had a couple of down to entendres, but
they spin us about polls. you ask the romney people to explain how they're going to pay for their tax cut. you don't get an answer. you want a jobs plan from obama, you don't get an answer. >> on that point of what the campaigns themselves are serving up, and of course we tend to cover what they are talking about, obama campaign ad has gotten a whole lot of attention the last couple of days. lina dunham, creator and star of hor's "girls," saying this about why she is swooning...
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Nov 1, 2012
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we did in the write-up note that i do think barack obama is still ahead in the state. and as you mentioned, you can always follow their feet where they're going. mitt romney's spending a huge amount of time in ohio in the next few days, as is, i would say, barack obama. i think both campaigns recognize this is a not only a close race, because there are a lot of close races in states, but this is a place that mitt romney probably has to have. so, if ever there's going to be a place where they both fight because of the stakes are so high, i think ohio's it. i think it belongs where we now have it, which is in those eight states, ones we know, florida, new hampshire, iowa, virginia, nevada, colorado, new hampshire, i think ohio belongs in that group. i put it on myself i should have put it in there a few days before now. >> mark halperin, take a look at nbc news poll, iowa, president up but wisconsin and new hampshire, we're talking about a really closely fought race. >> based on the totality of the public and private polling the only us in is on governor romney to depp s
we did in the write-up note that i do think barack obama is still ahead in the state. and as you mentioned, you can always follow their feet where they're going. mitt romney's spending a huge amount of time in ohio in the next few days, as is, i would say, barack obama. i think both campaigns recognize this is a not only a close race, because there are a lot of close races in states, but this is a place that mitt romney probably has to have. so, if ever there's going to be a place where they...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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these polls are a reflection of the past. you know, what evidence indicates is that the turnout for barack obama is not going to be as high as it was when he ran the last time. and so if you would just adjust those polling numbers little bit, you get different results. the numbers that i have been told about, but i don't sit down and study these things, it is based on a more realistic production of who's going to show up and vote. that is what it's about. according to andrew cuomo, their polling is excellent. i did not look at the numbers there either, but when you say that independents are trending the way that they are, that is a very, very big sign. bill: understood. the other time you try to pick up on is how many people are coming to the rallies. you have been out there with governor romney and paul ryan. especially up and down the western part of the state near the indiana border and in the central part of the state that surrounds franklin county word you where you are, and columbus, ohio. he saved the crowds, do they c
these polls are a reflection of the past. you know, what evidence indicates is that the turnout for barack obama is not going to be as high as it was when he ran the last time. and so if you would just adjust those polling numbers little bit, you get different results. the numbers that i have been told about, but i don't sit down and study these things, it is based on a more realistic production of who's going to show up and vote. that is what it's about. according to andrew cuomo, their...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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and the polling in north carolina still suggests that the president -- that obama care is still not very popular in north carolina although you start taking pieces of that like preexisting conditions and that sort of thing, it becomes various parts of it are more popular with the public. it's been a tough sell in north carolina. i think it's one of the reasons for example in 2010 that the state legislature went republican. it's one of the reasons that democratic congressmen lost his congressional seat here in north carolina. so it's been a tough issue for democrats. i don't think there's any question about that and a good issue for republicans. host: rob christensen talking to us from north carolina. you can read some of his writings at news observer.com. host: what are you going to be watching for on election night in north carolina? guest: the national presidential race is why people are looking at north carolina. but in the state we have -- it's been a battleground -- we have several battlegrounds going on. we have a governor's race going on. north carolina has had 20 years of democra
and the polling in north carolina still suggests that the president -- that obama care is still not very popular in north carolina although you start taking pieces of that like preexisting conditions and that sort of thing, it becomes various parts of it are more popular with the public. it's been a tough sell in north carolina. i think it's one of the reasons for example in 2010 that the state legislature went republican. it's one of the reasons that democratic congressmen lost his...
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according to a quinnipiac/"the new york times" poll that we got yesterday, halloween, obama is up by five points, 50-45 over romney in ohio. if, you know, like i said you don't know the impact of the storm. you've don't know, every poll says something different. so you don't know how it will play out. all eyes really ohio and florida. but then democrats could be losing ground, in what they thought were solid blue states including michigan and minnesota now. >> you would think though the folks in florida, with all of the hurricanes that they get, they want someone they can respond vigorously and robustly to this type of tragedy. and with chris christie, again, vouching for president obama, i would think that would have some sort of effect on perhaps florida voters. >> you know what else, i hope i haven't, mentioned new orleans on the show this week. i think when the way you see politicians and your local leaders, even media, wall to wall coverage. to me all of this living through this for a second time is proof of how katrina changed the nation's psychology when it comes to storms. >>
according to a quinnipiac/"the new york times" poll that we got yesterday, halloween, obama is up by five points, 50-45 over romney in ohio. if, you know, like i said you don't know the impact of the storm. you've don't know, every poll says something different. so you don't know how it will play out. all eyes really ohio and florida. but then democrats could be losing ground, in what they thought were solid blue states including michigan and minnesota now. >> you would think...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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new washington post poll out showing president obama at 51. governor romney at 47%. this is a race that has a similar situation in ohio. your economy is doing better than the national economy is, and this has been a tough row for him to hoe. what does mitt romney have to do if he can get into the state after the storm to turn this around? >> well, first i do want to thank governor romney who called me yesterday and agreed to cancel three events in virginia today to allow our first responders to focus on that. i appreciate it. the president is doing the same thing tomorrow. you mentioned the post poll. there are two other polls, both rasmussen and fox, that have romney up by two. it's margin of error. it's close, and it's going to come down to turn out the last undecided voters. i think why romney will win virginia is because he is the one that's going to reverse these sequestration cuts. they're going to devastate the military and cost us $200,000 jobs. the president has been a bystander and won't do that. he is the one with the plan to create jobs and we've got 23 m
new washington post poll out showing president obama at 51. governor romney at 47%. this is a race that has a similar situation in ohio. your economy is doing better than the national economy is, and this has been a tough row for him to hoe. what does mitt romney have to do if he can get into the state after the storm to turn this around? >> well, first i do want to thank governor romney who called me yesterday and agreed to cancel three events in virginia today to allow our first...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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we'll see the polls close. we are entering those hours now for his own take is anchor of special report bret baier. >> we are all working together as we move ahead for tuesday. >> hard to believe that we are finally here. >> we don't see surprises coming from the president and the stump speeches. but something from president obama is really getting a lot of reaction in the last 24 hours . people are wondering if it was written or ad-lib. >> at the time the republican congress and senate candidate by the name of romney. no, no. no. don't boo, vote. vote. vote is the best revenge. >> the president said something you may have heard by now that surprised a lot of people. voting is the best revenge. he told supporters voting for revenge. vote for revenge? let me actul what i would like to tell you. vote for love of country. >> and now obviously you are already seeing response from governor romney. he responded again. what did the president mean for the revenge line. >> he was responding to commercials that are run i
we'll see the polls close. we are entering those hours now for his own take is anchor of special report bret baier. >> we are all working together as we move ahead for tuesday. >> hard to believe that we are finally here. >> we don't see surprises coming from the president and the stump speeches. but something from president obama is really getting a lot of reaction in the last 24 hours . people are wondering if it was written or ad-lib. >> at the time the republican...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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not every poll has obama winning in ohio. >> first if you look at the whole group of polls we have a two-point romney lead to a five or six-point obama lead, the average is going to do better a than any one poll individual think, polling is difficult now, because you can only get about ten percent of people on the money, polls are hoping that those people who they do get are representative of the ones whom they don't get, different views about who will turn out and who won't, about the, differ on the democrat grafnls and statistical uncertainty as well. >> depending on the model the poll uses will affect the result. >> a different hype these almost. >> .. if you assume a more vigorous turnout because obama has good ground game for example those have him winning, no more at that like opportunity thousand ten environment where republican enthusiasm prevail they have a very tight in ohio instead. >> rose: okay. but do you say when you look at all of these polls, i have noted you are a statistician, you noted in the polling you measure other polls? >> rightment. >> rose: do you measure t
not every poll has obama winning in ohio. >> first if you look at the whole group of polls we have a two-point romney lead to a five or six-point obama lead, the average is going to do better a than any one poll individual think, polling is difficult now, because you can only get about ten percent of people on the money, polls are hoping that those people who they do get are representative of the ones whom they don't get, different views about who will turn out and who won't, about the,...
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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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whether that translates to enthusiasm or more people going to the polls, i don't know. and finally, really quickly, they're going to be watching cuyohoga county. not a swing county but marking a victory beat for barack obama. >> how strickland lost in 2010. all margins. his margin in cuyohoga much smaller than they had planned on. chris jansing i know you'll have more coming up. we'll have a special edition of chris's show live from ohio, 10:00 right here on msnbc. all right. stocks getting a boost from the better than expected october jobs report. wall street just opening 33 seconds ago. let's get the market rundown. becky quick is here. not much bad news in this jobs report. >> no. >> hard to find any isn't it? >> if you nit pick you can find a couple things but all in all this is a really strong report. numbers came in better than expected on just about every count. if you were looking at the number of jobs created it was 171,000. that was better than the 125,000 people had been expecting that economists had been expecting. you also could take a look at the revisions
whether that translates to enthusiasm or more people going to the polls, i don't know. and finally, really quickly, they're going to be watching cuyohoga county. not a swing county but marking a victory beat for barack obama. >> how strickland lost in 2010. all margins. his margin in cuyohoga much smaller than they had planned on. chris jansing i know you'll have more coming up. we'll have a special edition of chris's show live from ohio, 10:00 right here on msnbc. all right. stocks...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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tonight president obama is ahead in the polls. today wisconsin become a hot campaign spot for both candidates. vice president biden talked to the voters at the red mug coffee shop in superior wisconsin, but he got up staged in milwaukee. katy perry performed some of her hit songs at the crowded rally before president obama spoke. she asked everybody there to donate to the red cross. she made this offer to encourage people to vote. >> if you're over 18, and you've got some real cool outfit you're going to wear on tuesday, you tweet that to me and i'll retweet you. because i'm going to pull out for sure as well. >> president obama didn't talk fashion. >> wisconsin, after four years as president, you know me. and so, so, you know -- you know me. you've watched me age before your eyes. and you may not agree with every decision i've made. sometimes you may have been frustrated by the pace of change, but you know where i stand. you know what i believe. you know i mean what i say. and i say what i mean. >> we are joined tonight by wiscon
tonight president obama is ahead in the polls. today wisconsin become a hot campaign spot for both candidates. vice president biden talked to the voters at the red mug coffee shop in superior wisconsin, but he got up staged in milwaukee. katy perry performed some of her hit songs at the crowded rally before president obama spoke. she asked everybody there to donate to the red cross. she made this offer to encourage people to vote. >> if you're over 18, and you've got some real cool outfit...
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Oct 31, 2012
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that is a weakness for president obama. the position poll the race is even. what it tells me is that romney who had momentum for several weeks his momentum has stopped. the independent voter was romney-ryan had a slightly bigger lead than they do now. the number of people unsure from 29% now down to 16%. most broke for president obam obama. >> bret: early october it was 44-32. you're saying that the obama number goes up. >> yes. >> bret: so does romney-ryan. >> by one. obama-biden went up by 7. romney-ryan went up by one. if you look to the other unsure, 25% in early october. now down to 16%. >> bret: put number two up if you can again. >> so things breaking there more for the incumbent than the challenger. overall, what charles is saying is right. generally things break for the channeler. the income intent a known quantity. but not that it completely breaks for the incumbent. so many battleground obama maintains small lead, but maintaining it. but the fear is that romney momentum would carry him to lead in those states. >> bret: steve? >> the ultimate cliche
that is a weakness for president obama. the position poll the race is even. what it tells me is that romney who had momentum for several weeks his momentum has stopped. the independent voter was romney-ryan had a slightly bigger lead than they do now. the number of people unsure from 29% now down to 16%. most broke for president obam obama. >> bret: early october it was 44-32. you're saying that the obama number goes up. >> yes. >> bret: so does romney-ryan. >> by one....
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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you average out the polling president obama has a two or three point lead. we haven't had much new polling in the last week. but the race in the public polling narrowed -- we've gone through ups and downs for much of the year president obama has led in the vast majority of public polls but his lead was more substantial in the first part of the year. it narrowed t after paul ryan was picked for the republican ticket. it opened up a little bit after the conventions. and now it's back down to, like i said, in that one to three point range after the first debate where you saw a lot of narrowing here and other states. but if you look in the context of the battleground, we're one of the states where president obama in one of the eight or nine states that are being contested. so there is a potential firewall for president obama if you look at ohio and wisconsin and nevada and iowa but it's only potential because all those states are very close. so we're seeing a pretty fears republican effort as well to flip wisconsin. that would have a dramatic impact on the elect
you average out the polling president obama has a two or three point lead. we haven't had much new polling in the last week. but the race in the public polling narrowed -- we've gone through ups and downs for much of the year president obama has led in the vast majority of public polls but his lead was more substantial in the first part of the year. it narrowed t after paul ryan was picked for the republican ticket. it opened up a little bit after the conventions. and now it's back down to,...
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Nov 4, 2012
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one poll shows president obama up by 2 and another poll shows them dead even. one poll shows them even and another poll in in new hampshire. >> in pennsylvania belongs to the president. but a new poll from the pittsburgh tribune shows a tie in pennsylvania. my head is about to explode. joining us now to help us understand, ed rollins the head of the reagan election campaign and fox news contributor. that is just a couple am virginia, romney is ahead. romney is ahead by two. now florida is conflicting information. ohio, a dead heat. no, romney is up by two, new hampshire president is ahead by two, no, it's dead even -- i mean, people should we be paying attention to these polls? >> it's the only we have until election day. there is a margin of error and 95 out of hundred times they are accurate. you get one outside. the key thing you follow trends. the trends that you have a close or dead even race. even these men can win on tuesday. my gut tells me no education beyond just my gut i think romney will week is this thing out in the end. we'll know real quick on tu
one poll shows president obama up by 2 and another poll shows them dead even. one poll shows them even and another poll in in new hampshire. >> in pennsylvania belongs to the president. but a new poll from the pittsburgh tribune shows a tie in pennsylvania. my head is about to explode. joining us now to help us understand, ed rollins the head of the reagan election campaign and fox news contributor. that is just a couple am virginia, romney is ahead. romney is ahead by two. now florida is...
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Nov 1, 2012
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in ohio, obama is shown winning by five in the "times" poll. they had 8 points more democrats than republicans. and historically there were only 2 points more d's than r's. so that's 6 points off. so instead of romney losing by 5. he wins ohio by one. and in west virginia. >> they have owe become that winning by 2. but they have 8 points more democrats than republicans and historically there is one point more republic than democrat. that's off by a factor of 9. romney wins virginia by seven. >> that's pretty much what rove did on his little board. here's my question. can a pollster assume that all democrats and all republicans are going to vote for whoever is running in their party? can you assume that. >> yeah, you can. >> bill: with any certainty. >> yes, you can you get about 90% voting for their party. so you can it's the independents who split. what the "new york times" is doing is they are taking a poll that is probably initially accurate. i bet that all three of those polls show romney ahead. then they are waiting weighting up the number
in ohio, obama is shown winning by five in the "times" poll. they had 8 points more democrats than republicans. and historically there were only 2 points more d's than r's. so that's 6 points off. so instead of romney losing by 5. he wins ohio by one. and in west virginia. >> they have owe become that winning by 2. but they have 8 points more democrats than republicans and historically there is one point more republic than democrat. that's off by a factor of 9. romney wins...
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Oct 31, 2012
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if you look at the poll numbers and see obama up 11 points in new jersey, it's math on christie's part. the government will be depended on for a lot of money in new jersey to rebuild and recover from this. it makes sense on a bunch of different fronts. there is something important that christie did that is like worth noting and talking about which is, it's an important role in crises like this disasters for politicians to register the sort of emotional seriousness of it, the gravity of it and he did that really well. i was -- i have never listened to chris christie intently as i did yesterday on the radio and you fogh in most circumstances i find him to be an obnoxious blowhard and i was hanging on to his every word and it felt important and meaningful. i think that's to his veds it and e -- credit and even maureen dowd taking shots at him this morning, acknowledged that too. he obviously cares about this area, about his state and about this area of the state hit hard and i think that's legitimate. >> emotional seriousness is what christie does. other times you find him a blowhard. chr
if you look at the poll numbers and see obama up 11 points in new jersey, it's math on christie's part. the government will be depended on for a lot of money in new jersey to rebuild and recover from this. it makes sense on a bunch of different fronts. there is something important that christie did that is like worth noting and talking about which is, it's an important role in crises like this disasters for politicians to register the sort of emotional seriousness of it, the gravity of it and...
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Oct 29, 2012
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the polls are showing that obama is leading the early boat much like he did in 2008. that is an aberration from our part -- previous count. from previous elections before the 2008, typically, republicans won the early voting. we have had such a high volume now and the obama campaign is encouraging their supporters to vote early. we have seen a change in behavior when campaigns can take advantage of early voting to encourage their supporters and mobilize them over a longer period of time. that is was going on on the democrat side. if you look at the numbers, there are more republicans voting early ban in 2008. the romney campaign is not conceding the early vote as the mccain campaign did in 2008. we are seeing greater interest among republicans and we see level increases of democrats and republicans compared to 2008 in early voting. up to this point, when we look at the statistics, most of the people who have voted early so far were people who are very strong partisans and have registered with their local party. in ohio, we have data where we know that people have vote
the polls are showing that obama is leading the early boat much like he did in 2008. that is an aberration from our part -- previous count. from previous elections before the 2008, typically, republicans won the early voting. we have had such a high volume now and the obama campaign is encouraging their supporters to vote early. we have seen a change in behavior when campaigns can take advantage of early voting to encourage their supporters and mobilize them over a longer period of time. that...
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Nov 3, 2012
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of those two dozen polls, of those 24 polls, how many does president obama lead in? 24 of the 24. every single one. and look at the rest of mr. romney's campaign schedule. he's taking the one trip to pennsylvania that republicans always take. but other than that, he was in ohio and wisconsin today. he was scheduled to be in new hampshire, iowa and colorado in the final days. and he just spent the last couple days in florida and virginia. that means the map is not expanding. no the if you can't afford to walk away from any battle ground states. he's still flogging it out where he has to win. all of this we're going to win stuff is a fake out, it's a bluff, it's trash talk. and there's nothing wrong with it. it happens every year. you should know it's a dependable part of the end of presidential campaigns. but every once in awhile at the end of a presidential campaign, this expected faint, this attempt at a fake out that everybody knows is coming, every once in awhile it's revealed as a fake out. every once in awhile you get from the campaign an admission that they actually know the
of those two dozen polls, of those 24 polls, how many does president obama lead in? 24 of the 24. every single one. and look at the rest of mr. romney's campaign schedule. he's taking the one trip to pennsylvania that republicans always take. but other than that, he was in ohio and wisconsin today. he was scheduled to be in new hampshire, iowa and colorado in the final days. and he just spent the last couple days in florida and virginia. that means the map is not expanding. no the if you can't...
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we are here in battleground florida, where the presidential polls show mitt romney and barack obama running in a statistical dead heat. so for the campaigns, it's now all about the ground game. they're trying to get their supporters to the polls and get them there early. today is the first day of in-person early voting here in the sunshine state. no shortage of organizations working to get people to vote as soon as they can here. earlier today, i had a chance to talk with a few of the folks who decided to cast their ballots on this first day of voting. >> i work, and i don't want to be in all of the waiting and the lines and everything. >> i was with my mom, and she decided to go early, and i wanted to vote so, i went with her. >> i think i'm working election day. so i figured i'd come out a little early, get it done now. >> we'll have much more on the impact of early voting coming up here in just a few moments. >>> first, though, the very latest on hurricane sandy. we'll get to the hurricane in just a moment, though. let's go to the political headlines. we'll come back to hurricane sandy i
we are here in battleground florida, where the presidential polls show mitt romney and barack obama running in a statistical dead heat. so for the campaigns, it's now all about the ground game. they're trying to get their supporters to the polls and get them there early. today is the first day of in-person early voting here in the sunshine state. no shortage of organizations working to get people to vote as soon as they can here. earlier today, i had a chance to talk with a few of the folks who...
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Nov 1, 2012
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romney, obama, tied at 49%. so joining me now for an exclusive interview is governor scott walker, republican from wisconsin. governor walker, as always, sir, welcome back to the "kudlow report." we appreciate it. they're tied at 49% which is something of a surprise. the republicans strnts taken the state of wisconsin in a presidential election since 1492. so how does it look, how do you see it right now? >> well, i was out in green bay, wisconsin nearby where the president was today. i've been all over the state the last couple days. momentum is clearly on our side. and you expect that out of somebody advocating for candidates, but i've really seen it. we made 4.5 million voter contacts leading up to the june 5th election. we won by a bigger mar begin than we did in 2010. and that basis of support hasn't let up, that converted over to mitt romney, it got inspired when paul ryan was added to the ticket. but most importantly, the day after mitt romney had that impressive first debate in denver, we saw the phone l
romney, obama, tied at 49%. so joining me now for an exclusive interview is governor scott walker, republican from wisconsin. governor walker, as always, sir, welcome back to the "kudlow report." we appreciate it. they're tied at 49% which is something of a surprise. the republicans strnts taken the state of wisconsin in a presidential election since 1492. so how does it look, how do you see it right now? >> well, i was out in green bay, wisconsin nearby where the president was...